Electricity forecasting for small scale power system using artificial neural network

Abstract

Short term load forecasting (STLF) method is the basis of efficient operation for power system. It has an important role in planning and operation of power system. In this paper, a practical STLF using artificial neural network method (ANN) for Gas District Cooling (GDC) power plant of Universiti Teknologi PETRONAS (UTP) is presented. As a sole customer of GDC power plant, the load data from 2006 till 2009 are gathered and utilized for model developments. The developed models forecast electricity load for one week ahead. The paper proposes a method of a multilayer perceptron neural network and it is trained and simulated by using MATLAB. The models have been tested with the actual load data and perform relatively good results.