The Impact of Family Background and Early Marital Factors on Marital Disruption

TLDR

The study uses 1987–1988 National Survey of Families and Households data and proportional‑hazard modeling to examine how parental background, marital entry characteristics, spouse attributes, and early joint activity affect marital disruption, while also assessing whether reconciliations bias separation‑based estimates. The analysis shows that marital disruptions are underreported by men, and that women who marry young, have low education, cohabited before marriage, or whose spouse has prior marriages face the greatest risk, with parental disruption influencing stability mainly via age at marriage and cohabitation, and that religious/educational heterogamy and male unemployment further lower marital stability.

Abstract

Data from the National Survey of Families and Households for 1987-1988 are used to explore methodological and substantive issues concerning marital dissolution in the United States. "The analysis finds that marital disruptions are seriously underreported by males, making the analysis of male marital histories problematic. Also, the potential impact of reconciliations on the estimates of recent marital disruption based on separation is explored; no upward bias is likely to result from the inclusion of separations that may subsequently reconcile. The impact of a wide variety of factors on the risk of marital disruption is examined using proportional hazard techniques. Among them are included parental background factors, respondent's characteristics at the time of marriage, differences in spouses' characteristics, and joint activity statuses of marital partners in the first year of marriage. The risk of marital disruption is highest among women with young age at marriage, low education, a cohabitation history, and those whose spouse has been married previously. Parental family disruption affects marital stability primarily through age at marriage and cohabitation. Religious and educational heterogamy and male unemployment reduce marital stability."