Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C (Applied Statistics) · 2005 · 231 citations · 33 references
Natural SciencesEarth SciencesClimate SciencePaleoclimatologyPaleoenvironmental ReconstructionMarkov Chain Monte CarloMonte Carlo SimulationPalaeoenvironmental ReconstructionPaleoclimate ModelingPaleoclimate ReconstructionPaleoclimatic ReconstructionAge Model ConstructionMarkov Chain Monte Carlo CalibrationMarkov Chain Monte Carlo InferenceOutlier IdentificationPeat AccumulationPeatland ReconstructionRadiocarbon Chronology
Summary Raised bog peat deposits form important archives for reconstructing past changes in climate. Precise and reliable age models are of vital importance for interpreting such archives. We propose enhanced, Markov chain Monte Carlo based methods for obtaining age models from radiocarbon-dated peat cores, based on the assumption of piecewise linear accumulation. Included are automatic choice of sections, a measure of the goodness of fit and outlier downweighting. The approach is illustrated by using a peat core from the Netherlands.
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Discussion Reporting of <sup>14</sup>C Data
Minze Stuiver, Henry Polach · Radiocarbon · 1977 · 5.7K citations · Full text
Monte Carlo Statistical Methods
Hoon Kim, Christian P. Robert, George Casella · Technometrics · 2000 · 5.6K citations