Secular trend of the Earth's rotation pole: Consideration of motion of the latitude observatories

Abstract

Secular polar motion has been recorded in ILS data over the past 75 years, an amount greater by a factor of ten than the ‘true polar wandering’ deduced from paleomagnetic data. In this work, the possibility that the secular trend is an observational artifact of the continental drift of the ILS stations is directly examined by consideration of several absolute plate velocity models earlier proposed by Minster et al. (1974), Kaula (1975), and Solomon, Sleep & Richardson (1975). The assumptions underlying those models are discussed; in general, the absolute velocity models are more likely to be valid when geologically short timescales are considered. The corrections to the ILS data due to the stations' motion fail by an order of magnitude to explain the ILS trend; even by taking into account possible plate hyperactivity and non-rigidity, the corrections could explain no more than 30 per cent of the trend. The corrections are small because the absolute plate velocities of North America and Eurasia are small and primarily east-west. Consequently, the rotation pole is undergoing significant motion of its own relative to the surface of the Earth. The Kimura z term found by the ILS observations provides an independent means of estimating the relative motion between Eurasia and North America. It also contains other geophysical information; the 7.5-yr periodicity discovered by Naito & Ishii (1974) may be widespread. Lastly, tectonically induced changes in the zenith direction, such as at Mizusawa, are probably too small to be detected, contrary to earlier proposals.