Flooding of Venice: Phenomenology and prediction of the Adriatic storm surge

Abstract

Abstract Since both observations and theory indicate weak dissipation, a frictionless one‐dimensional model elucidates the dynamics of the surge and is used to hindcast and forecast. Wind over the shallow northern Adriatic dominates the forcing. The relative phases of the astronomical tide, the storm tide, and the preexisting seiche determines flooding. Good real time predictions are now in progress.