World Economy · 2011 · 454 citations · 35 references
Social SciencesEconomicsInternational RelationsInternational EconomicsInternational TradeInternational Trade PolicyGlobal TradeGlobal Trade NetworksTrade NetworksTrade PolicyTrade SystemsTrading NetworksEconomic ConnectivityGlobal Trade PolicyGravity Model Of TradeInternational Trade EconomicsInternational Trade FlowsTrade Connectivity
The study applies network analysis to graphically and analytically represent world trade characteristics. The authors compare the World Trade Network over time, detect trade‑tie patterns, and incorporate network indices into a gravity model to enhance explanatory power. The analysis reveals that world trade has become more interconnected yet remains incomplete, with pronounced heterogeneity among countries, WTO members more tightly linked, and trade policies influencing network structure, highlighting differences between extensive and intensive trade margins and offering a unified view of the system’s complexity.
Abstract This study uses the tools of network analysis to graphically and analytically represent the characteristics of world trade. The structure of the World Trade Network is compared over time, detecting and interpreting patterns of trade ties among countries. The results show that the trading system has become more intensely interconnected, and trade integration at the world level has been increasing, but it is still far from being complete, with the exception of a few areas. At the same time, we observed a strong and increasing heterogeneity in countries’ choice of trade partners, with countries holding very different positions within the network, so that it is very difficult to talk of a representative country in the international trade system. Network indices were also used in a gravity model regression, adding to the explanatory power of the model. Furthermore, the analysis shows that trade policies do play a role in shaping the trade network, and that WTO members are more closely connected than the rest of the world. The structural difference between the extensive and the intensive margin of trade is also highlighted. An important feature of these results is that they pertain to the trading system as a whole, giving a unified view of the system characteristics and complexity.
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