Best linear unbiased disaggregation of annual GDP to quarterly figures: the case of Malaysia

Abstract

Long series of quarterly GDP figures are still not available for many countries. This paper suggests an empirical procedure adapted from Chow and Lin (1971) to derive quarterly estimates from annual GDP figures and produces quarterly GDP by sectors for Malaysia from 1973Q1 onwards. A comparison of these estimates with some univariate interpolations using published quarterly figures for recent years show that the use of related series can produce substantially superior estimates of GDP compared to univariate methods. The data set is available from the authors. Copyright © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.