Hybrid model for hourly forecast of photovoltaic and wind power

Abstract

High penetration of solar and wind power in the electricity system provides a number of challenges to the grid such as grid stability and security, system operation, and market economics. Ones of the considerable problems of solar and wind systems, they depend on the weather, as compared to the conventional generation. As we know, the balance in managing load and generated power in energy system is very important. If the power which is supplied from solar and wind perfectly predictable, the extra cost of operating power system with a large penetration of renewable energy will be reduced. Since, the accurate and reliable forecasting system for renewable sources represents an important topic as a major contribution for increasing non-programmable renewable on over the world. The target of this research is to describes the advanced hybrid evolutionary techniques of computational intelligence applied for PV as well as wind power forecast. The evaluation of this investigation is obtained by comparing different definitions of the forecasting error. Moreover, the meaning of NWP (numerical weather prediction) values based on meteorological information on solar and wind power forecasting at Italy has been highlighted in this research.