SETTING RELIABILITY BOUNDS ON HABITAT SUITABILITY INDICES

Abstract

We expressed quantitative and qualitative uncertainties in suitability index functions as triangular distributions and used the mechanics of fuzzy numbers to solve for the distribution of uncertainty around the habitat suitability indices derived from them. We applied this approach to a habitat model for the Florida Scrub-Jay. The results demonstrate that priorities and decisions associated with management and assessment of ecological systems may be influenced by an explicit consideration of the reliability of the indices.