Modeling the Future Effects of a Menthol Ban on Smoking Prevalence and Smoking-Attributable Deaths in the United States

David T. Levy, Jennifer Pearson, Andrea C. Villanti, Kenneth Blackman, Donna Vallone, Raymond Niaura, David B. Abrams

American Journal of Public Health · 2011 · 85 citations · 27 references

DOIFull text

Open access

Concepts

Abstract

We used a validated smoking simulation model and data from the 2003 Tobacco Use Supplement to the Current Population Survey to project the impact that a US menthol ban would have on smoking prevalence and smoking-attributable deaths. In a scenario in which 30% of menthol smokers quit and 30% of those who would have initiated as menthol smokers do not initiate, by 2050 the relative reduction in smoking prevalence would be 9.7% overall and 24.8% for Blacks; deaths averted would be 633,252 overall and 237,317 for Blacks.

References

27