The Annals of Statistics · 1976 · 2.5K citations · 6 references
ComputingSocial PsychologyBayesian Data AnalysisEpistemologyInformation TheoryBayesian InferenceBayesian StatisticsPosterior DistributionsPrior SpecificationBayes' TheoremBayesian EpistemologyBayesian JudgmentCommon InformationCommon Prior Assumption
Two people, 1 and 2, are said to have common knowledge of an event $E$ if both know it, 1 knows that 2 knows it, 2 knows that 1 knows is, 1 knows that 2 knows that 1 knows it, and so on. THEOREM. If two people have the same priors, and their posteriors for an event $A$ are common knowledge, then these posteriors are equal.
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Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman · 1975 · 23.1K citations
Morris H. DeGroot · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 1974 · 3.5K citations