The Journal of Financial Research · 2007 · 55 citations · 27 references
EconomicsEconomic ForecastingFinancial EconomicsMacroeconomicsMarket TrendAccountingBusinessMacroeconomic ForecastingEconomic FluctuationStock Market CalendarForecastingFinancial ForecastWeather AnomaliesFinanceMarket ResponseFinancial Crisis
Abstract An analysis of six stock market calendar and weather anomalies from 1980 to 2003 shows that (1) returns on trading days in which macroeconomic announcements were made generate the anomalies and (2) five of the six anomalies are not present at all on the trading days in which such announcements were not made (more than 60% of the sample). The results suggest that the market response to macroeconomic news, not psychological or institutional factors, is the main source of calendar and weather anomalies.
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Good Day Sunshine: Stock Returns and the Weather
David Hirshleifer, Tyler Shumway · The Journal of Finance · 2003 · 1.7K citations