Journal of Climate · 1998 · 165 citations · 72 references
Natural SciencesEarth SciencesOceanographyAir-sea InteractionClimate ScienceClimatologyAtmosphere-ocean InteractionsClimate ModelingClimate VariabilityOcean-atmosphere CouplingOcean-atmosphere InteractionTropical Climate VariabilityAtmosphere-ocean CouplingAtmosphere-ocean FeedbacksCoupled Atmosphere-ocean ModelingCoupled Climate ModelsCoupled Ocean-atmosphere InteractionCoupled Ocean-atmosphere ModelingOcean-atmosphere VariabilityWind-driven Gyres
The study reviews interdecadal variability arising from ocean–atmosphere interactions in coupled models. It classifies this variability into four types—tropical, tropical–extratropical, midlatitude wind‑driven gyres, and midlatitude thermohaline circulation. Coupled models predict distinct interdecadal cycles with 10–50‑year periods, indicating potential decadal predictability if such cycles exist in reality.
The interdecadal variability as simulated by coupled ocean–atmosphere models is reviewed. Emphasis is given to that class of interdecadal variability that arises from ocean–atmosphere interactions. The interdecadal variability simulated can be classified roughly into four classes: tropical interdecadal variability, interdecadal variability that involves both the Tropics and the extratropics as active regions, midlatitudinal interdecadal variability involving the wind-driven ocean gyres, and midlatitudinal interdecadal variability involving the thermohaline circulation. Several coupled models predict the existence of different interdecadal climate cycles, with periods ranging from approximately 10–50 yr. This implies some inherent predictability at decadal timescales, provided that these interdecadal cycles exist in the real climate system.
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