Migration Studies · 2013 · 465 citations · 30 references
Social SciencesEconomicsImmigration PolicyLabor EconomicsMigration PolicyCross-border Labour MobilityInternational MigrationInternational Migration LawMigration AnalysisMigration In EuropeMigration LawEu Migration PolicyEuropean Union Migration PolicyHeterogeneityLabor Market MobilityMigration ChoiceMigration DestinationsUnobserved HeterogeneityUnobserved Individual Effects
The article aims to advance understanding of international migration determinants by compiling a new dataset and developing an empirical model. The study compiles 1980–2006 bilateral migration flows for 15 OECD destinations and 120 sending countries, incorporates time‑varying immigration policy data, and estimates a structural model that accounts for unobserved individual heterogeneity. Estimates show that migration flows are highly responsive to destination income per capita, with elasticity twice as high within the EU, and that tightening immigration laws sharply reduces flows.
This article makes two contributions to the literature on the determinants of international migration flows. First, we compile a new dataset on annual bilateral migration flows covering 15 OECD destination countries and 120 sending countries for the period 1980–2006. The dataset also contains data on time-varying immigration policies that regulate the entry of immigrants in our destination countries over this period. Second, we present an empirical model of migration choice across multiple destinations that allows for unobserved individual heterogeneity and derive a structural estimating equation. Our estimates show that international migration flows are highly responsive to income per capita at destination. This elasticity is twice as high for within-European Union (EU) migration, reflecting the higher degree of labor mobility within the EU. We also find that tightening of laws regulating immigrant entry reduce rapidly and significantly their flow.
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John G. Cragg, Paul Zarembka · Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d économique · 1975 · 8.4K citations