Avian nest success, mammalian nest predator abundance, and invertebrate prey availability in a fragmented landscape

Abstract

Avian nest success is largely determined by predation, but factors affecting the abundance of potential nest predators are rarely studied. We used an information–theoretic approach to assess relative support for models including invertebrate biomass, mammalian nest predator abundance, and percent cover at nests as explanatory variables for nest success of Ovenbirds ( Seiurus aurocapilla (L., 1766)) and Wood Thrush ( Hylocichla mustelina (J.F. Gmelin, 1789)). We ranked models including local vegetation characteristics and landscape composition at two spatial scales (100 and 2000 m) as explanatory variables for the abundance of mammalian nest predator groups and for prey biomass. The nest success of Ovenbirds was best explained by a positive association with percent cover by forbs and seedlings, whereas a positive relationship with prey biomass best explained the nest success of Wood Thrush. Most mammal genera were associated with landscape composition within 100 m of the study sites, and most were positively associated with housing density. Prey biomass was best explained by a positive association with less intensive agriculture within 2000 m. Implementing silvicultural techniques that preserve important habitat features within fragmented forests, limiting housing density within 100 m, and increasing the amount of less intensive agriculture within 2000 m of forest fragments may improve nest success for forest songbirds.