Financial Exchange Rates and International Currency Exposures

Philip R. Lane, Jay Shambaugh

American Economic Review · 2010 · 363 citations · 56 references

DOIFull text

Open access

Concepts

TL;DR

The study constructs a database of international currency exposures for a large panel of countries from 1990 to 2004 to empirically assess the financial implications of currency movements. The authors compile and analyze this database to measure currency exposures across countries over the period. The analysis shows that trade‑weighted exchange‑rate indices are inadequate, while the new exposure measures strongly explain net foreign asset valuation, revealing sizable, persistent valuation shocks that can redistribute wealth, and that many developing countries have substantially reduced negative foreign‑currency positions over the last decade. Funding was provided by grants F31, F32, and G15.

Abstract

In order to gain a better empirical understanding of the international financial implications of currency movements, we construct a database of international currency exposures for a large panel of countries over 1990-2004. We show that trade-weighted exchange rate indices are insufficient to understand the financial impact of currency movements and that our currency measures have high explanatory power for the valuation term in net foreign asset dynamics. Exchange rate valuation shocks are sizable, not quickly reversed, and may entail substantial wealth redistributions. Further, we show that many developing countries have substantially reduced their negative foreign currency positions over the last decade. (F31, F32, G15)

References

56