Epidemic risk analysis after the Wenchuan Earthquake using remote sensing

Abstract

On 12 May 2008, Wenchuan Earthquake, magnitude 8.0, destroyed thousands of buildings, and resulted in thousands of people being buried in the collapsed buildings. In order to investigate the potential epidemic disease risk after earthquake, a Backward Propagation Neural Network (BPNN) was constructed to assess the potential epidemic risks by applying remote sensing technology to obtain Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI) values, as well as by using a geographic information system (GIS) to gain ambient epidemic-related spatial factors over the earthquake region. In this study, a relationship was established between the change in environmental factors after earthquake and potential epidemic risks, which was found to be statistically significant. The result might be explained for three change perspectives, namely environmental risks, medical risks and psychological risks. The corresponding strategies for preparedness in case of epidemic disease were given.