Aperiodic recurrence of geologically recorded tsunamis during the past 5500 years in eastern Hokkaido, Japan

Abstract

Along Hokkaido's Pacific coast near the town of Kiritappu, sandy deposits in a muddy lagoon and on a nearby beach‐ridge plain provide evidence for 15 tsunamis between 200 and 6000 years ago. Additional sand beds at the lagoon probably represent the historical tsunamis of A.D. 1843 and 1894. We observed the sequences of sandy deposits in continuous slices 2 to 4 m deep. Some of the deposits consist of just a single sand bed, whereas others contain multiple units of sand, muddy sand (or sandy mud), and mud caps including plant detritus. We also found at the lagoon a 17th century tsunami deposit that thickens and thins regardless of elevation or distance inland. We bracketed the ages of most of the inferred tsunamis by radiocarbon dating of detritus, mainly seeds and leaves at the lagoon and charcoal at the beach‐ridge plain, from pretsunami and posttsunami beds. Tsunami dates computed from the bracketing ages commonly have uncertainties spanning 2 to 4 centuries. Within these uncertainties, the inferred sequence of 15 prehistoric tsunamis at the lagoon, beginning almost 6000 years ago, can be matched tsunami by tsunami with the inferred history at the beach‐ridge plain, 15 km away. The sand sheet extents suggest that most of these tsunamis were larger than any generated at Hokkaido in the last 200 years. The intervals between these inferred outsized tsunamis average nearly 400 years but range widely from about 100 to about 800 years.