Journal of the Operational Research Society · 1984 · 145 citations · 26 references
ManagementEconomicsInventory ControlInventory ManagementDemand TheoryInventory Control PoliciesInventory TheoryStochastic Inventory ModelsStock ControlStock MarketsInventory Control Under Demand UncertaintyInventory Control Under UncertaintySlow-moving InventorySlow-moving Inventory ManagementTime-varying Demand Models
Choosing a stock-control method for a product depends on that product's demand distribution. This paper presents a simple method of classifying product demand into ‘smooth’, ‘slow-moving’ or ‘sporadic’, by partitioning the variance of demand during a lead time into causal parts. A study of a public utility showed demand distributions in each category to be of a specific nature. Stock-control and forecasting methods are developed, and simulation tests are described which compare these methods with (for ease of comparison) the assumption of continuous demand.
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Forecasting Sales by Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages
Peter R. Winters · Management Science · 1960 · 2.1K citations