Construction Management and Economics · 1989 · 35 citations · 24 references
BusinessDecision SciencesProject ManagementDecision AnalysisDecision MakingDecision TheoryDecision Making In ProjectsDecision Making Under RiskDecision Under UncertaintyDecision-making Under UncertaintyManagerial Decision MakingUncertainty AnalysisBiasing TechniquesDecision-making In Project ManagementProject Evaluation Under UncertaintyProject UncertaintySystematic Error AnalysisUncertainty In Decision Making
Morris' (1986) analysis of the factors affecting project success and failure is considered in relation to the psychology of judgement under uncertainty. A model is proposed whereby project managers may identify the specific circumstances in which human decision-making is prone to systematic error, and hence may apply a number of de-biasing techniques.
24
Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman · Science · 1974 · 28K citations
Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman · 1975 · 23.1K citations
Subjective probability: A judgment of representativeness
Daniel Kahneman, Amos Tversky · Cognitive Psychology · 1972 · 4.9K citations
Ellen J. Langer · Journal of Personality and Social Psychology · 1975 · 3.7K citations