Alpha, Beta, and Now… Gamma

David Blanchett, Paul D. Kaplan

The Journal of Retirement · 2013 · 44 citations · 15 references

Concepts

TL;DR

Investors devote most effort to alpha (fund selection) and beta (asset allocation), yet many other financial planning decisions can have a greater impact on retirement income. The study introduces gamma, a metric that quantifies the value added by intelligent financial planning decisions on retirement income, focusing on optimal asset allocation, dynamic withdrawals, guaranteed income products, tax efficiency, and liability‑relative asset allocation. Gamma is calculated by evaluating a certainty‑equivalent, utility‑adjusted retirement income metric across five fundamental planning techniques within a total wealth framework. Monte Carlo simulations indicate that a gamma‑efficient strategy yields 22.6% higher certainty‑equivalent retirement income than a base scenario, and that gamma can be achieved by any individual following an efficient planning strategy. Topic: Retirement, legal/regulatory/public policy, wealth management.

Abstract

Investors arguably spend the most time and effort selecting "good" investment funds/managers—the so-called alpha decision—as well as on the asset-allocation, or beta, decision. However, alpha and beta are just two elements of myriad important financial planning decisions, many of which can have a far more significant impact on retirement income. The authors present a concept that they call "gamma," designed to quantify how more intelligent financial planning decisions can add value, measured through a certainty-equivalent, utility-adjusted retirement income metric, and focused on five fundamental financial planning decisions/techniques: a total wealth framework to determine the optimal asset allocation, a dynamic withdrawal strategy, incorporating guaranteed income products (i.e., annuities), tax-efficient decisions, and liability-relative asset allocation optimization. Using a Monte Carlo simulation, the authors estimate that 22.6% more in certainty-equivalent income can be generated using a gamma-efficient retirement income strategy as compared to a base scenario. Unlike traditional alpha, which can be hard to predict and is a zero-sum game, the authors find that gamma (and gamma equivalent alpha) can be achieved by anyone following an efficient financial planning strategy. <b>TOPIC:</b>Retirement, legal/regulatory/public policy, wealth management

References

15