Inclined-plane model of the 2004 Tour de France

Abstract

We make modifications to a model we created to predict the stage-winning times of the 2003 Tour de France. With the modifications in place, we model the 2004 Tour de France. We demonstrate here the utility of our 2003 model with its successful application to the 2004 race; our total of all stage-winning times is just 0.05 % different from the actual total. We also apply our 2004 model to the 2003 Tour de France and compare our results with our 2003 model. Our 2004 model misses the actual sum of stage-winning times in the 2003 race by just 1.77%. 1.