System Dynamics Review · 1987 · 20 citations · 2 references
LawEconomicsDemand ForecastingEconometricsInternational TradeDrug Distribution SystemsDrug ExportationDrug Import ControlDrug ImportationDrug TraffickingSubstance Abuse PreventionDrug Market DynamicsDrug Market StructuresDrug Trafficking RevenuesHeroin SalesImport Volume ForecastingImportation Of Controlled SubstancesState Drug ImportationSystem Model Development
Abstract A small system dynamics model of the heroin supply in the United States has proved useful in estimating heroin imports and anticipating effects of changes in imports. This paper describes the structure of the model and its application to import data over a ten‐year period. Of particular interest is the way in which the model has been used to flag inconsistencies and fill gaps in federal data.
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