Global warming increases flood risk in mountainous areas

Abstract

The paper aims at assessing the impact of global warming on flood risk in mountainous regions, providing measurable evidence of possible hydrologic changes due to temperature increase. It shows that large floods in mountain basins are now more frequent than in the past and that they may become even more frequent under global warming. The morpho‐climatic model used for prediction is very simple and does not require calibration, which makes it suitable for application in scarcely gauged mountainous areas of the world.