Epidemiology and Infection · 2009 · 118 citations · 29 references
Veterinary MedicineInfectious DiseasesRisk ManagementMolecular VirologyVector-borne DiseasesVirologyAnimal Infectious DiseasesAnimal VirusesDisease Risk AssessmentLivestock Infectious DiseasesWest Nile Virus InfectionZoonotic VirusesAnimal Disease Risk AssessmentClimate Change Impacts On Vector-borne DiseaseClimate Change-related Disease EffectsDisease Risk Under Climate ChangeLivestock Disease RiskLivestock Viral DiseasesVector-borne Animal VirusesWest Nile Virus Disease
Expert opinion was elicited to undertake a qualitative risk assessment to estimate the current and future risks to the European Union (EU) from five vector-borne viruses listed by the World Organization for Animal Health. It was predicted that climate change will increase the risk of incursions of African horse sickness virus (AHSV), Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever virus (CCHFV) and Rift Valley fever virus (RVFV) into the EU from other parts of the world, with African swine fever virus (ASFV) and West Nile virus (WNV) being less affected. Currently the predicted risks of incursion were lowest for RVFV and highest for ASFV. Risks of incursion were considered for six routes of entry (namely vectors, livestock, meat products, wildlife, pets and people). Climate change was predicted to increase the risk of incursion from entry of vectors for all five viruses to some degree, the strongest effects being predicted for AHSV, CCHFV and WNV. This work will facilitate identification of appropriate risk management options in relation to adaptations to climate change.
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Christiaan Both, Sandra Bouwhuis, C. M. Lessells et al. · Nature · 2006 · 1.5K citations · Full text
Life Sciences, Ecology, Zoology +16
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