The Big Picture – trends, drivers, wild cards, discontinuities and weak signals

The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable

Choice Reviews Online · 2007 · 3.5K citations

Humanities, African American Studies, African American History +3

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Library Review · 2008 · 2.5K citations

Humanities, African American Studies, African American History +3

The future shocks: On discontinuity and scenario development

Ph.W.F. van Notten, A.M. Sleegers, M.B.A. van Asselt · Technological Forecasting and Social Change · 2004 · 212 citations

Social Sciences, Economics, Development Economics +9

Joint horizon scanning: identifying common strategic choices and questions for knowledge

Victor van Rij · Science and Public Policy · 2010 · 66 citations

Management, Public Policy, Strategy +17

Venturing into the Wilderness

Sandro Mendonça, Miguel Piña e Cunha, Frank Ruff et al. · Long Range Planning · 2008 · 53 citations

Natural Resources, Rangeland Management, Wildlife Management +2