Demographic Research · 2005 · 1.8K citations · 12 references
Social SciencesGeographyUrban PlanningUrban DemographyUrban DevelopmentUrban GeographyCity GrowthPopulation ProjectionsUrban Development PolicyUrban ExpansionUrban GrowthUrban MobilityContemporary UrbanizationUrban Expansion AnalysisUrban Expansion ModellingUrban Expansion PredictionUrban Growth ForecastingUrbanization Processes
This paper proposes to critically examine the United Nations projections on urbanisation. Both the estimates of current trends based on national data and the method of projection are evaluated. The theory of mobility transition is used as an alternativ
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M.W. Thring · Electronics and Power · 1977 · 7.4K citations
The Hypothesis of the Mobility Transition
Wilbur Zelinsky · Geographical Review · 1971 · 1.6K citations
The Limits of Population Forecasting
Nathan Keyfitz · Population and Development Review · 1981 · 305 citations