Overconfidence in estimation: Testing the anchoring-and-adjustment hypothesis

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman · Science · 1974 · 28K citations

Business, Decision Sciences, Psychology +17

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman · 1975 · 23.1K citations

Business, Decision Sciences, Psychology +17

Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment

Paul Slovic, Sarah Lichtenstein · Organizational Behavior and Human Performance · 1971 · 1.8K citations

Business, Behavioral Sciences, Psychology +14

Behavioral Decision Theory

Paul Slovic, Baruch Fischhoff, Sarah Lichtenstein · Annual Review of Psychology · 1977 · 1.7K citations

Social Sciences, Behavioral Sciences, Psychology +12

Reasons for confidence.

Asher Koriat, Sarah Lichtenstein, Baruch Fischhoff · Journal of Experimental Psychology Human Learning & Memory · 1980 · 1.4K citations

Social Sciences, Psychology, Social Psychology +11