Day-Ahead Power Output Forecasting for Small-Scale Solar Photovoltaic Electricity Generators

Abstract

Because of the rapid growth of small-scale solar electricity generation over the past few years, forecasting solar power output is becoming more important. However, changes in weather conditions cause solar power generation to be highly volatile. This paper analyses the challenges of solar power forecasting and then presents a similar day-based forecasting tool to do 24-h-ahead forecasting for small-scale solar power output forecasting.