Fitting Probability Distributions to Animal Movement Trajectories: Using Artificial Neural Networks to Link Distance, Resources, and Memory

Abstract

Animal movement paths are often thought of as a confluence of behavioral processes and landscape patterns. Yet it has proven difficult to develop frameworks for analyzing animal movement that can test these interactions. Here we describe a novel method for fitting movement models to data that can incorporate diverse aspects of landscapes and behavior. Using data from five elk (Cervus canadensis) reintroduced to central Ontario, we employed artificial neural networks to estimate movement probability kernels as functions of three landscape-behavioral processes. These consisted of measures of the animals' response to the physical spatial structure of the landscape, the spatial variability in resources, and memory of previously visited locations. The results support the view that animal movement results from interactions among elements of landscape structure and behavior, motivating context-dependent movement probabilities, rather than from successive realizations of static distributions, as some traditional models of movement and resource selection assume. Flexible, nonlinear models may thus prove useful in understanding the mechanisms controlling animal movement patterns.