Management Science · 1963 · 6K citations · 0 references
ManagementPsychologyDecision AnalysisExperimental DesignPublic OpinionDelphi StudiesExpert InterviewingKnowledge ElicitationPublic Opinion FormationPublic Opinion MeasurementScientific ConsensusConsensus ElicitationControlled Feedback ProcessDelphi Technique VariantsPerceived Opinion Consensus
This paper gives an account of an experiment in the use of the so-called DELPHI method, which was devised in order to obtain the most reliable opinion consensus of a group of experts by subjecting them to a series of questionnaires in depth interspersed with controlled opinion feedback.