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An Experimental Application of the DELPHI Method to the Use of Experts
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1963
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Artificial IntelligenceEngineeringModel-based ReasoningSocial InfluenceIntelligent SystemsCommunicationKnowledge-based ReasoningSocial SciencesComputational Social ScienceSo-called Delphi MethodKnowledge EngineeringConversation AnalysisKnowledge ProcessingMajority InfluenceReliable Opinion ConsensusCognitive ScienceExperimental ApplicationExpert SystemsUser FeedbackComputer ScienceAutomated Knowledge AcquisitionJudgement AggregationAutomated ReasoningDelphi MethodControlled Opinion FeedbackAttitude DynamicPersuasionSurvey MethodologyOpinion Aggregation
This paper gives an account of an experiment in the use of the so-called DELPHI method, which was devised in order to obtain the most reliable opinion consensus of a group of experts by subjecting them to a series of questionnaires in depth interspersed with controlled opinion feedback.