Security Trend Analysis with CVE Topic Models

Stephan Neuhaus, Thomas Zimmermann

2010 · 124 citations · 14 references

Concepts

TL;DR

The study aims to identify prevalent vulnerability types and emerging trends in CVE reports. It applies topic modeling to the description texts of CVE entries to achieve this. The analysis shows PHP, buffer overflows, and format strings are declining, while SQL injection, XSS, cross‑site request forgery, and application server vulnerabilities are strong or rising.

Abstract

We study the vulnerability reports in the Common Vulnerability and Exposures (CVE) database by using topic models on their description texts to find prevalent vulnerability types and new trends semi-automatically. In our study of the 39,393 unique CVEs until the end of 2009, we identify the following trends, given here in the form of a weather forecast: PHP: declining, with occasional SQL injection. Buffer Overflows: flattening out after decline. Format Strings: in steep decline. SQL Injection and XSS: remaining strong, and rising. Cross-Site Request Forgery: a sleeping giant perhaps, stirring. Application Servers: rising steeply.

References

14