Future imperfect: The limitations of clinical prediction models and the limits of clinical prediction

A Mathematical Theory of Communication

Claude E. Shannon · Bell System Technical Journal · 1948 · 78.4K citations

Wireless Communications, Modulation, Engineering +17

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Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman · Science · 1974 · 27.3K citations

Behavioral Decision Making, Cognition, Individual Decision Making +21

Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases

Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman · 1975 · 23.1K citations

Cognitive Biases, Cognitive Science, Behavioral Sciences +9

The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

J A Hanley, Barbara J. McNeil · Radiology · 1982 · 21.3K citations

Engineering, Generalizability Theory, Biometrics +20

Simple mathematical models with very complicated dynamics

Robert M. May · Nature · 1976 · 6.8K citations

Complex Modeling, Complex Dynamic System, Multiscale Modeling +2