Assessment of microburst models for downdraft estimation

Abstract

The effectiveness of three microburst models in estimating the downdraft from horizontal velocity measurements is assessed. The development of the models and their characteristics are discussed. The simplest model, a linear one, works well for altitudes below 200 m and near the microburst core. A ring-vortex model and an empirical model give the best overall results. The former is the most complex, requiring four variables to define it. The empirical model uses three variables.