Defence and Peace Economics · 2014 · 91 citations · 47 references
Social SciencesEconomicsCausal InferenceDevelopment EconomicsEconomic DevelopmentDefense ExpenditureMiddle Eastern EconomicsPanel Data AnalysisPanel Data MethodsCausal HypothesesCausalityDefence ExpenditureDefense Expenditure AnalysisDefense Spending DeterminantsEconomic Growth DynamicsGranger Causality AnalysisPanel Data Causal Inference
This study revisits the causal relationship between military spending and economic growth in 10 Middle East countries via a panel causality analysis that accounts for cross-sectional dependence and heterogeneity across countries. Our results indicate unidirectional causality from military spending to growth for Turkey; one-way causality from economic growth to military spending for Egypt, Kuwait, Lebanon, and Syria; bidirectional causality for Israel; and no causality in either direction for Jordan, Oman, and Saudi Arabia. The empirical evidence does not provide consistent results regarding the causal relationship between defense expenditure and economic growth in these countries.
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