BAYESIAN INFERENCE AND DECISION THEORY—A FRAMEWORK FOR DECISION MAKING IN NATURAL RESOURCE MANAGEMENT

Abstract

Bayesian inference and decision theory may be used in the solution of relatively complex problems of natural resource management, owing to recent advances in statistical theory and computing. In particular, Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms provide a computational framework for fitting models of adequate complexity and for evaluating the expected consequences of alternative management actions. We illustrate these features using an example based on management of waterfowl habitat. Corresponding Editor: D. B. Lindenmayer.