Journal of the American Statistical Association · 1970 · 151 citations · 12 references
Natural SciencesMathematicsProbability TheoryStatistical ModelingStatisticsBayesian InferenceBayesian ModelingBayesian StatisticsInverse ProblemsLikelihood EstimationMaximum Likelihood EstimationBayes EstimationBayesian Inverse ProblemsBayesian InversionBayesian Linear RegressionBayesian RegressionInformative PriorsLinear RegressionMaximum Likelihood Estimator
Abstract The model considered in this paper is simple linear regression , and the problem is to make statistical inferences about an unknown value of x corresponding to one or more additional observed values of y. The maximum likelihood estimator x of x and the classical (1 - α) 100% confidence set S for x have some undesirable properties. For example, has infinite mean square error and > 0. The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate that insight and understanding, as well as a useful class of solutions, can be obtained by looking at the problem from a Bayesian point of view. A result which follows from a general Bayes solution is that the inverse estimator [4] is Bayes with respect to a particular informative prior.
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An Introduction to the Theory of Statistics
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