AIChE Journal · 1998 · 98 citations · 28 references
Natural SciencesChemical EngineeringReaction EngineeringUncertainty QuantificationChemical Kinetics ModelingModel Fit AssessmentProbabilistic ModelingReaction Mechanism ModelingMechanistic Kinetic ModelingMechanistic Process ModelingModel ChoiceMultimodel InferencePosterior Model Probabilities
Abstract Criteria are derived for objective choice among rival models of multiresponse processes. Formulas are given for the relative posterior probabilities of candidate models and for their goodness of fit as tested on a common data set with Normally distributed errors. The formulas are demonstrated with examples from chemical kinetics and catalysis.
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Thomas Bayes · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London · 1763 · 2.9K citations
C. L. Mallows · Technometrics · 1973 · 1.4K citations
Colin L. Mallows · Technometrics · 1995 · 1.1K citations
A GENERAL DISTRIBUTION THEORY FOR A CLASS OF LIKELIHOOD CRITERIA
George E. P. Box · Biometrika · 1949 · 1.1K citations