Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Based on Least-Square Support Vector Machine (LSSVM)

Abstract

In order to improve the rate and accuracy of wind power forecasting, the Least-Square Support Vector Machine method (LSSVM) is presented. LSSVM adopts equality constraints and defines the least-square system as the objective function, which can simplify the forecasting method to a large extent, as well as accelerate the rate of wind power forecasting. Through the analysis of the original load data, a reasonable choice on training set and test sample set is made in the simulation. Besides, many factors, such as, the temperature, wind direction, wind speed and power previous, are taken into consideration. The result shows that LSSVM is more effective than that of SVM.