BMJ · 1997 · 77 citations · 0 references
Social SciencesDemographyHealth PolicyGeriatric CareGeriatricsGerontologyCognitive AgingCognitive HealthCognitive ImpairmentLife ExpectancyPopulation AgingAge-related Cognitive DisordersDisability Population ProjectionsElderly PopulationOlder Adult PopulationPopulation Aging ProjectionsPopulation CensusesPublic Policy Debate
Financing long term institutional care for elderly people is a contentious political issue.Cognitive impairment is the main reason for such care, 1 and to inform the policy debate we constructed a population based set of estimates of the future number of elderly people and the characteristics of cognitive impairment among them on the basis of a national survey of disability in adults by the Office of Population Censuses and Surveys. 2 We report future trends based on stable age specific rates of cognitive impairment and disability.