Dam Safety Analysis Based on Stepwise Regression Model

Abstract

The simulating and predicting analysis model is studied by the deformation monitoring data of Bikou earth-rockfill dam. Based on the least squares method of Statistics principles, the stepwise regression model has been established of earth-rockfill dam deformation displacement, which is used to fit and forecast the measured deformation data sequences of dam. The results shows that the deformation monitoring model of Bikou earth-rockfill dam having higher fitting precision, longer predict cycle, can be better applied to the fitting and prediction of dam deformation monitoring data.