Geophysical Research Letters · 2008 · 40 citations · 15 references
Natural SciencesEarth SciencesMeteorologyClimate ScienceClimatologyTropical MeteorologyTropical Cyclone MonitoringTropical CyclonesCyclone TrackingDownscalingHorizontal ResolutionHorizontal VorticityReanalysis Data AnalysisRelative VorticityStatistical DownscalingTropical Cyclone Climatology
A tracking method for tropical cyclones (TCs) is presented and their characteristics for data sets with a lower horizontal resolution, e.g., the ERA‐40 Reanalysis data set from 1958 to 2001 are explored. The tracking method uses sea level pressure, relative vorticity and wind speed at 850 hPa, and vertical wind shear. The method, assessed in the Atlantic basin, identifies a realistic number of TCs. However, the ERA‐40 TCs compared with best track data from the U.S. National Hurricane Center are too weak to reach hurricane character, i.e., the tracked TCs do not show hurricanes of category three to five. Another caveat is that the life cycle of central pressure values is often not realistically reproduced by ERA‐40 TCs. To correct the life cycle of the central pressure, a two‐step statistical downscaling approach is applied to the ERA‐40 TCs which strongly improves the finding of major hurricanes.
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S. Uppala, P. Kållberg, A. J. Simmons et al. · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · 2005 · 7.1K citations · Full text
Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years
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