Fair Values, Income Measurement, and Bank Analysts' Risk and Valuation Judgments

D. Eric Hirst, Patrick E. Hopkins, James M. Wahlen

The Accounting Review · 2004 · 231 citations · 17 references

Concepts

TL;DR

Risk and valuation judgments should reflect banks’ differing risks but be independent of income measurement methods. We examine how fair‑value income measurement affects commercial bank equity analysts’ risk and value judgments. The experiment varied income measurement—full‑fair‑value versus piecemeal‑fair‑value—and interest‑rate‑risk exposure (exposed versus hedged). Analysts differentiate banks’ interest‑rate‑risk exposure only when income reflects full fair‑value changes, showing that income measurement influences risk and valuation judgments and that note disclosure alone is insufficient, a finding relevant to standard‑setting.

Abstract

We examine how fair-value-income measurement affects commercial bank equity analysts' risk and value judgments. Normatively, holding information and other underlying economics constant, bank analysts' risk and valuation assessments should distinguish between banks with different risks, but should not depend on how banks measure income. In our experiment, we vary income measurement—full-fair-value (all fair-value changes recognized in income) versus piecemeal-fair-value (some fair-value changes recognized in income, others disclosed in the notes). We also vary interest-rate-risk exposure (exposed versus hedged). We find that bank analysts' risk and value judgments distinguish banks' exposure to interest-rate risk only under full-fair-value-income measurement. Our evidence contributes to research concerned with financial performance reporting, risk, and fair-value accounting by demonstrating that differences in income measurement affect fundamental judgments of specialist analysts. Our findings are striking because they: (1) point toward an important role for measurement and recognition of fair-value gains and losses in income, and (2) suggest that note disclosure is not a substitute for financial-statement recognition (even for professional analysts specializing in banks and working in a context that involves assessment of core operations of a bank). These results should be of interest to accounting standard setters as they evaluate whether to require full-fair-value-income measurement.

References

17