EPPO Bulletin · 2012 · 24 citations · 25 references
BusinessDecision SciencesEntomologyInsect EcologyRisk AnalysisRisk AssessmentAgricultural Risk AssessmentClimate Risk AssessmentEntomological Risk AssessmentPest Risk AssessmentRisk EvaluationRisk MappingBiasesClimate-driven Risk AssessmentInsect Pest Risk AnalysisInsect Risk AssessmentLocation Data AnalysisPest EstablishmentPest RiskPest Risk Management
The assessment of the suitability of the climate for pest establishment is an important part of pest risk analysis (PRA). This paper describes the work undertaken by the EU 7th Framework project PRATIQUE (Enhancements of Pest Risk Analysis Techniques) to develop guidance for this component of PRA. Firstly, there is a guide to rating the suitability of the climate in the PRA area using qualitative methods. Secondly, a Decision‐support scheme (DSS) has been created to assist analysts in deciding whether to map climatic suitability, and to guide the selection of the most appropriate method from the large number available. The process of selecting a climatic mapping method is based on a review of the pest’s climatic responses and distribution. A spreadsheet provides a comparison of the potential problems that can arise, depending on the mapping method and on the amount and quality of available data. Diagrams are provided to help choose the location data category that best represents the possible biases in the known distribution of the pest. A second spreadsheet provides general information on the differences and similarities of each method in terms of categories such as functionality, ease of use and quality assurance. A variety of data, tools and supporting documents are available as appendices to the DSS. All of the tools and guides are freely available online.
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The art of modelling range-shifting species
Jane Elith, Michael Kearney, Steven Phillips · Methods in Ecology and Evolution · 2010 · 2.8K citations
A high-resolution data set of surface climate over global land areas
Mark New, David Lister, Mike Hulme et al. · Climate Research · 2002 · 2.3K citations · Full text