Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics · 1983 · 49 citations · 3 references
Forecasting MethodologyBusiness ForecastingApplied EconomicsRandom VariationAgricultural EconomicsMeat QualityFood ChoiceFood MarketingEconomic ForecastingEconomic AnalysisFood PolicyStatisticsHealth SciencesFood DistributionEconomicsSupply VariablesDemand ForecastingChanging Demand StructureForecastingFood QualityAgricultural HistoryMarketingBusinessEconometricsFood ProductionMeat ScienceMicroeconomicsBeef Prices
During the 1960s and through 1973, a single equation demand system resulted in reasonably accurate forecasts of both pork and beef prices at the farm and retail levels (Grimes 1974a, 1974b). Errors in forecasts were primarily attributable to errors in projections of supply variables and, to a lesser extent, projections of consumer income. Some minor errors resulted from random variation, captured in an error variable.
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