Anaesthesia and Intensive Care · 2004 · 90 citations · 11 references
Public HealthBiostatisticsHospital MedicineSepsisSurvival AnalysisIntensive Care MedicineSurvival PredictionHospital Readmission RiskIntensive Care Unit MortalityLogistic RegressionPatient Outcome EvaluationPatient Outcome PredictionReadmission Rate AnalysisReadmission RatesSeverity Of Illness Classification
UNLABELLED: Intensive Care (ICU) survivors discharged from ICU to the general ward at night have a higher mortality. We sought to clarify which factors, including night-shift discharge, influence outcome following ICU discharge in a metropolitan hospital, using a cohort study of critically-ill patients between 1/1/1999-30/4/2003. Patients were excluded from analysis if they (a) died in ICU, (b) were transferred to another hospital, (c) had an ICU length of stay <8 hours, or (d) age <16 years. Logistic regression was used to derive a predictive model based on the following variables: patient demographics, severity of illness following ICU admission (APACHE II mortality-risk, p(m)), final diagnosis, discharge timing including premature or delayed (>4 hours) ICU discharge, and "limitation of medical treatment" orders. The outcome measures were patient status at hospital discharge and ICU readmission rate. Of the 1870 ICU survivors, 92 (4.9%) died after discharge from ICU. Patients discharged to the ward during the night-shift (2200-0730 hours) had a higher APACHE II score and crude mortality. The difference in APACHE II p(m) did not reach statistical significance. No significant calendar or seasonal pattern was identified. Logistic regression identified night-shift discharge (RR=1.7; 95% CI 1.03-2.9; P=0.03), limited medical treatment order (RR=5.1; 95% CI 2.2-12) and admission APACHE II p(m) (RR=3.3; 95% CI 1.3-7.6) as independent predictors of patient outcome following ICU transfer to the ward. CONCLUSION: At the time of ICU discharge to the ward three factors are predictive of hospital outcome: timing of ICU discharge, limited medical treatment orders and initial illness severity.
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William A. Knaus, Elizabeth A. Draper, Douglas P. Wagner et al. · Critical Care Medicine · 1985 · 13.7K citations
Medicine, Internal Medicine, Clinical Classification Systems +16
Consequences of discharges from intensive care at night
Caroline Goldfrad, Kathy Rowan · The Lancet · 2000 · 512 citations