¹⁷⁷Lu-PSMA is an effective treatment in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC). Our ability to assess response rates and adjust treatment may be improved using predictive tools. This study aimed to evaluate change in ¹⁷⁷Lu-PSMA SPECT quantitative parameters to monitor treatment response. Methods: One hundred twenty-seven men with progressive mCRPC previously treated with androgen-signaling inhibition (99%) and chemotherapy (71%) received a median of 3 (interquartile range [IQR], 2-5) 8-GBq (IQR, 8-8.5 GBq) doses of ¹⁷⁷Lu-PSMA-I&T. Imaging included ⁶⁸Ga-PSMA-11 PET/CT (SUV_max > 15 at a single site and > 10 at all sites > 2 cm), diagnostic CT, and ¹⁷⁷Lu SPECT/CT from vertex to mid thigh (24 h after treatment). ¹⁷⁷Lu SPECT/CT quantitative analysis was undertaken at cycles 1 (baseline) and 2 (week 6) of treatment. Clinical and biochemical results were assessed to evaluate prostate-specific antigen (PSA) progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Results: A PSA reduction of more than 50% was seen in 58% (74/127). The median PSA PFS was 6.1 mo (95% CI, 5.5-6.7), and OS was 16.8 mo (95% CI, 13.5-20.1). At the time of analysis, 41% (52/127) were deceased. At baseline and week 6, 76% (96/127) had analyzable serial ¹⁷⁷Lu SPECT/CT imaging. SPECT total tumor volume (TTV) was reduced between baseline and week 6 in 74% (71/96; median, -193; IQR, -486 to -41). Any increase in SPECT TTV between baseline and week 6 was associated with significantly shorter PSA PFS (hazard ratio, 2.5; 95% CI, 1.5-4.2; P = 0.0008) but not OS. Median PSA PFS in those with an increase in SPECT TTV was 3.7 mo (95% CI, 2.8-6.8), compared with 6.7 mo (95% CI, 5.8-10.6) in those with no increase in SPECT TTV. An increase in SPECT TTV greater than 20% was also associated with PSA PFS (hazard ratio, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.2-3.0; P = 0.008) but less significantly than any change in SPECT TTV. There was a significant difference in PSA PFS between patients with both increased PSA and SPECT TTV and patients with reduced SPECT TTV and PSA (median, 2.8 vs. 9.0 mo; P < 0.0001). Conclusion: Increasing PSMA SPECT TTV on quantitative ¹⁷⁷Lu SPECT/CT predicts short progression-free survival and may play a future role as an imaging response biomarker, identifying when to cease or intensify ¹⁷⁷Lu-PSMA therapy.

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